The longer the 1918 Spanish Flu existed in a community, the less lethal the sickness became.
The virus was most virulent when it first reached a country thereafter attenuated and far less began dying from the disease.
By the middle of 1920, in many places, it was all but over.
Could it be the same pattern with Covid is emerging as is happening currently in the UK, the US and India where the numbers have peaked and now are in a rapid state of decline?
Graphs from those countries showing that could be a guide to what New Zealanders can expect over the next two years and would be of great interest to all New Zealanders.
Gary Hollis
Mellons Bay
